Research & Evidence·The Rebound Handbook

What The Rebound Handbook stands on

This is the Handbook for a restart you did not choose — redundancy, a role cut from under you. It stands almost entirely on government data, because the worst thing to hand someone in that moment is a comforting number nobody checked.


← The evidence behind all the books
The full ledger

Every claim, traced.

The parent page names the load-bearing sources in a paragraph. This is the full list — graded honestly, with what is still settling named as such.

Displacement, in government numbers
The anchor for the whole book is a single primary source: the US Bureau of Labor Statistics — Worker Displacement Summary (2021–2023 data, released 2024). Stated precisely, because it is government data: 65.7% of long-tenured displaced workers were reemployed by January 2024; of those back in full-time work, 62% matched or exceeded their previous earnings while 38% took a cut; and the reemployment rate for workers aged 55–64 was 55.3%, down from around 64% two years earlier. Median US employer tenure of 3.9 years (BLS Employee Tenure Summary, 2024) grounds the long-tenure reader this book is written for.
International readers, on primary data too
We do not write a US-only book and hope it travels. UK unemployment at 5.0% for January–March 2026, with falling economic inactivity (Office for National Statistics, May 2026). Canadian unemployment peaking at 7.1% in August 2025, with the job-finding rate falling to 18.1% from 21.0% the prior year (Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, 2024–2025).
The transition framework
The middle of the book — the gap between the ending and the new beginning — draws on two named, established works rather than invented stages: William Bridges, Managing Transitions (Ending → Neutral Zone → New Beginning) and Nancy Schlossberg's transition theory, whose “unanticipated transition” category names precisely why a restart you did not choose is harder than one you planned.
How the application is read, after a long tenure
The disaggregation discipline in Chapters 4 and 5 — how to present many years at one employer so a machine and a recruiter both read them cleanly — rests on the same well-established findings as the rest of the line: the 7.4-second scan (Ladders, 2018), applicant-tracking-system adoption around 98% at large employers (Jobscan, 2023–2025), and the consensus that separate dated entries parse more reliably than stacked titles under one employer. Stated as that consensus, not a precise figure.
Salary, after a setback
The negotiation chapter rests on the same contested-but-useful base the line uses elsewhere — Babcock & Laschever (2003) and the critique in Artz, Goodall & Oswald (2018). The durable, defensible lesson: a single calibrated, market-anchored counter — not need-based appeals or repeated volleys — captures most of the realistic gain.
What we don't yet claim
We are explicit about one moving figure. The book describes the displaced-worker pay cut as commonly 10–25% in mid-career bands and sometimes past 30% for older workers, and we tell you this is a practitioner range, not a single published distribution. A cross-check against BLS displacement releases confirms the direction (roughly a quarter to a third of reemployed displaced workers take cuts of 20% or more); the precise current-survey distribution will be named here next edition. Sector-exposure observations are directional, not survey-validated. We make no claim that this Handbook guarantees a faster or better landing — only that the ground it puts under you is real.
The schedule

When we check again.

Scheduled roughly six months from launch. The labour-market figures refresh on their agencies' own cycles and are re-pulled first; the pay-cut distribution is the specific item flagged to firm up next edition.

Found something that's moved?

Tell us, and the next edition reflects it.

If a study here has been superseded or retracted, or a claim reads stronger than its source supports, tell us: hello@thehandbookco.com. We read every correction, we reply, and where it is material the next edition reflects it — with the change named on the record.

Every claim sourced. Every number traced. The strong ground marked as strong, the moving ground marked as moving.
— Jon, Publisher